27 March 2006

Ukraine Votes IV - CEC Progress Trend

If you trend the regular CEC result updates on Ukrainska Pravda the counting progress is accelerating. Assuming it will continue accelerating at the same pace my predicted completion time is around 1 am. My completion estimate is based on Microsoft's math. Reliable? Here is the actual data, the trendline is not shown.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

If your model included such assumptions as influence of political parties over counting votes (this time is 0), cumbersome ballots, capacities of CEC and how fast Ukr.Pravda publishes updated results (ranked in order of importance), then, discounted by all of this, the final result would be much later time...